{"id":7938,"slug":"panel-ng-eg-seat-gap-post-closure-23-october-2026-robustness","title":"Robustness of Nigeria’s seat lead over Egypt on Spotify’s African panel, 12 September to 23 October 2026, extended past the zero-gap reading (seat_gap)","source":"Recomputed from panel-ng-eg-seat-gap-post-closure-23-october-2026","source_url":"","source_type":"computed","method":"Sensitivity check on \"seat_gap\" in the dataset panel-ng-eg-seat-gap-post-closure-23-october-2026, 30 rows carrying a value. Rows sorted by that column, then the totals recomputed with the largest rows dropped one scenario at a time, and again with named rows excluded. sum_change_pct and mean_change_pct are each scenario against the full set. A finding that moves sharply when a single row leaves is a finding about that row.","unit":"seats","license":"Afrobeats Wire's compilation and analysis are licensed CC BY 4.0. Rights in the underlying source data remain with the source named above.","confidence":"high","retrieved":"2026-10-23 02:05:07","n":30,"first_party":0,"columns":[{"key":"scenario","label":"Scenario","type":"text"},{"key":"n","label":"Rows","type":"number"},{"key":"sum","label":"Total","type":"number"},{"key":"mean","label":"Mean","type":"number"},{"key":"top_share_pct","label":"Largest row share, %","type":"number"},{"key":"sum_change_pct","label":"Change in total, %","type":"number"},{"key":"mean_change_pct","label":"Change in mean, %","type":"number"}],"rows":[{"scenario":"All rows","n":30,"sum":151,"mean":5.0333,"top_share_pct":7.28,"sum_change_pct":0,"mean_change_pct":0},{"scenario":"Excluding the top 1 (2026-09-12)","n":29,"sum":140,"mean":4.8276,"top_share_pct":7.86,"sum_change_pct":-7.28,"mean_change_pct":-4.09},{"scenario":"Excluding the top 3 (2026-09-12, 2026-09-15, 2026-09-14)","n":27,"sum":120,"mean":4.4444,"top_share_pct":6.67,"sum_change_pct":-20.53,"mean_change_pct":-11.7},{"scenario":"Excluding the top 5 (2026-09-12, 2026-09-15, 2026-09-14, 2026-09-13, 2026-09-19)","n":25,"sum":104,"mean":4.16,"top_share_pct":7.69,"sum_change_pct":-31.13,"mean_change_pct":-17.35}]}