{"id":5312,"slug":"nigeria-chart-day-rate-and-cascade-sensitivity-20-september-2026","title":"One Nigerian chart day at four per-stream rates and four documented cascade splits, 20 September 2026","source":"Computed from this desk's duetti-per-stream-rates-2024 and nigeria-distribution-cascade-example datasets, applied to 8,209,783 chart streams","source_url":"https:\/\/report.duetti.co\/","source_type":"computed","method":"The stream count held constant across every row is 8,209,783, the summed daily stream count of the 22 tracks Seyi Vibez leads on Spotify's published daily Top 200 for Nigeria on 20 September 2026. The first two rows multiply it by rates this desk holds in duetti-per-stream-rates-2024: Spotify's reported global payout rate for calendar 2024, 3.00 dollars per 1,000 streams, and for calendar 2021, 3.20 dollars per 1,000 streams, the highest Spotify rate in that four-year series. The third and fourth rows are not measured. They are this desk's own what-if scenarios, applying a rate 20 and 40 per cent below the 2024 global blend, included because Nigeria is a lower-ARPU market than the United States and Western Europe on which that blend is weighted and the true Nigerian rate is very likely below it. They are labelled assumed in the basis column and no claim is made that either is the rate Spotify pays in Nigeria. The final four rows apply the four artist_share_pct values in this desk's nigeria-distribution-cascade-example dataset to the 3.00-dollar gross. Those percentages come from one published worked example of one Nigerian label deal, not from a survey of Nigerian deals, and they are emphatically not Seyi Vibez's terms: this desk does not know his contract, has not seen any statement of his, and applies the four splits only to show the range a chart day of this size can fall through on the way to an artist's account. Spotify disputes that any fixed per-stream rate exists, on the grounds that it pools revenue and pays out pro rata to a rightsholder's share of total streams. No row here is a receipt.","unit":"usd","license":"Afrobeats Wire's compilation and analysis are licensed CC BY 4.0. Rights in the underlying source data remain with the source named above.","confidence":"low","retrieved":"2026-09-21 19:49:52","n":8,"first_party":0,"columns":[{"key":"scenario","label":"Scenario","type":"text"},{"key":"basis","label":"Basis","type":"text"},{"key":"usd","label":"USD","type":"number"}],"rows":[{"scenario":"Gross at Spotify's 2024 global rate, 3.00 dollars per 1,000 streams","basis":"published rate","usd":24629.35},{"scenario":"Gross at Spotify's 2021 global rate, 3.20 dollars per 1,000 streams","basis":"published rate","usd":26271.31},{"scenario":"Gross at a rate 20 per cent below the global blend, 2.40 dollars per 1,000 streams","basis":"assumed rate","usd":19703.48},{"scenario":"Gross at a rate 40 per cent below the global blend, 1.80 dollars per 1,000 streams","basis":"assumed rate","usd":14777.61},{"scenario":"Reaching the artist: telco-bundled, through a label and a manager, 5.1 per cent of gross","basis":"documented cascade","usd":1256.1},{"scenario":"Reaching the artist: app-based, through a label and a manager, 7.5 per cent of gross","basis":"documented cascade","usd":1847.2},{"scenario":"Reaching the artist: telco-bundled, bypassing the label, 20 per cent of gross","basis":"documented cascade","usd":4925.87},{"scenario":"Reaching the artist: app-based, bypassing the label, 25 per cent of gross","basis":"documented cascade","usd":6157.34}]}