{"id":9121,"slug":"catalogue-multiple-leave-out-scenarios","title":"Does one deal carry the 15.5x catalogue multiple? Leave-out scenarios","source":"Recomputed by this desk from its own reservoir-disclosed-catalogue-acquisition-multiples dataset","source_url":"https:\/\/www.sec.gov\/Archives\/edgar\/data\/1824403\/000110465926098354\/tm2623312d1_ex99-1.htm","source_type":"computed","method":"The headline rests on a purchase-price-weighted average multiple, not on a sum, so the standard total-dropping robustness check does not test it directly. This dataset recomputes the weighted multiple itself under eight populations: all 17 deals, then the one, two, three and five largest purchase prices removed, the five smallest removed, the single highest-multiple deal removed, and the single lowest-multiple deal removed. Weighting is unchanged in each scenario: sum(price multiplied by multiple at close) divided by sum(price) over the surviving rows. change_pct is the percentage change in the weighted multiple against the all-17 baseline of 15.48 times, computed before rounding the displayed figures to one decimal place, which is why the displayed multiples and the displayed percentages do not divide into each other exactly.","unit":"ratio","license":"Afrobeats Wire's compilation and analysis are licensed CC BY 4.0. Rights in the underlying source data remain with the source named above.","confidence":"high","retrieved":"2026-11-04 22:43:55","n":8,"first_party":0,"columns":[{"key":"scenario","label":"Scenario","type":"text"},{"key":"n","label":"Deals","type":"number"},{"key":"price_total_usd_m","label":"Purchase price in scenario, USD m","type":"number"},{"key":"weighted_multiple","label":"Weighted multiple at close","type":"number"},{"key":"change_pct","label":"Change vs all 17, %","type":"number"}],"rows":[{"scenario":"All 17 disclosed deals","n":17,"price_total_usd_m":537.7,"weighted_multiple":15.5,"change_pct":0},{"scenario":"Largest deal removed","n":16,"price_total_usd_m":436.4,"weighted_multiple":14.8,"change_pct":-4.2},{"scenario":"Two largest removed","n":15,"price_total_usd_m":361.5,"weighted_multiple":14.1,"change_pct":-8.6},{"scenario":"Three largest removed","n":14,"price_total_usd_m":298.3,"weighted_multiple":13.5,"change_pct":-12.5},{"scenario":"Five largest removed","n":12,"price_total_usd_m":199.4,"weighted_multiple":14.1,"change_pct":-9.2},{"scenario":"Five smallest removed","n":12,"price_total_usd_m":483.5,"weighted_multiple":15.6,"change_pct":0.7},{"scenario":"Highest-multiple deal removed","n":16,"price_total_usd_m":527.7,"weighted_multiple":15.4,"change_pct":-0.4},{"scenario":"Lowest-multiple deal removed","n":16,"price_total_usd_m":517.5,"weighted_multiple":15.7,"change_pct":1.4}]}