{"id":3642,"slug":"african-export-column-cascade-band-04-september-2026","title":"The 4 September 2026 African export column carried through one documented Nigerian cascade","source":"Computed from this desk's spotify-rate-through-nigerian-cascade dataset and the 332,224-stream export column in african-export-column-composition-04-september-2026","source_url":"","source_type":"computed","method":"export_day_usd_to_artists multiplies 332,224, the total Spotify chart streams earned by African-origin artists outside Africa on 4 September 2026, by each scenario's usd_per_1000_streams_to_artist from this desk's spotify-rate-through-nigerian-cascade dataset, divided by 1,000. Those per-1,000 figures are themselves Duetti's $3.00 global Spotify rate multiplied by the artist's share of gross in each of four scenarios traced in one published Nigerian investigation into a single label and distribution chain, originally reported in 2017. This is arithmetic stacked on two prior figures and inherits every limitation of both. It is a low-confidence illustration of the width of the cascade, not a payout any of the eleven exporting artists receives. It is deliberately conservative in one direction and wrong in another: the cascade percentages come from one Nigerian deal structure, and only one of the eleven artists in the export column is Nigerian, so this is a band of what such a chain would leave, applied to the whole column for scale, not a claim about any named artist's contract. No artist, label or release is priced individually here and none should be inferred. Read the four rows as the distance between the best and worst documented outcomes for the same gross.","unit":"usd","license":"Afrobeats Wire's compilation and analysis are licensed CC BY 4.0. Rights in the underlying source data remain with the source named above.","confidence":"low","retrieved":"2026-09-05 19:47:15","n":4,"first_party":0,"columns":[{"key":"scenario","label":"Deal structure","type":"text"},{"key":"artist_share_pct","label":"Artist's share of gross, %","type":"number"},{"key":"usd_per_1000_streams_to_artist","label":"USD per 1,000 streams reaching the artist","type":"number"},{"key":"export_day_usd_to_artists","label":"The whole export day, USD reaching artists","type":"number"}],"rows":[{"scenario":"Telco-bundled, through a label and manager","artist_share_pct":5.1,"usd_per_1000_streams_to_artist":0.153,"export_day_usd_to_artists":50.83},{"scenario":"App-based, through a label and manager","artist_share_pct":7.5,"usd_per_1000_streams_to_artist":0.225,"export_day_usd_to_artists":74.75},{"scenario":"Telco-bundled, artist bypasses the label","artist_share_pct":20,"usd_per_1000_streams_to_artist":0.6,"export_day_usd_to_artists":199.33},{"scenario":"App-based, artist bypasses the label","artist_share_pct":25,"usd_per_1000_streams_to_artist":0.75,"export_day_usd_to_artists":249.17}]}