{"id":2269,"slug":"african-export-change-leave-one-out-august-2026","title":"Leave-one-out test on the fall in African chart streams earned outside Africa, 13 to 22 August 2026","source":"kworb.net Spotify daily country charts, artist origin from MusicBrainz","source_url":"https:\/\/kworb.net\/spotify\/","source_type":"computed","method":"The registered robustness check on the export column tests the concentration of a single day's level. This table tests the direction of the change instead. Export streams are recomputed for 13 August 2026 and for 22 August 2026 from this desk's own dated snapshots of all 75 Spotify country charts, over the full population of African-origin artists rather than the 50-artist volume panel, and the two dates are then differenced with one exporter removed from both dates at a time. One row per artist who exported on either date. export_13aug and export_22aug are streams taken on charts outside Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt and Morocco, the four African countries Spotify publishes a daily chart for. The last two rows drop each date's own largest and three largest exporters, which is a harsher test because the identity of the largest exporter changed between the dates. Chart presence is not consumption, and two single days are two single days. Every scenario in this table is a decline, so fall_pct is reported as a positive magnitude: it is the 13 August figure minus the 22 August figure, over the 13 August figure, for the same reduced population.","unit":"streams","license":"Afrobeats Wire's compilation and analysis are licensed CC BY 4.0. Rights in the underlying source data remain with the source named above.","confidence":"medium","retrieved":"2026-08-22 20:18:47","n":16,"first_party":0,"columns":[{"key":"scenario","label":"Scenario","type":"text"},{"key":"export_13aug","label":"Export streams, 13 Aug","type":"number"},{"key":"export_22aug","label":"Export streams, 22 Aug","type":"number"},{"key":"fall_pct","label":"Fall, %","type":"number"}],"rows":[{"scenario":"All exporters","export_13aug":491686,"export_22aug":468110,"fall_pct":4.79},{"scenario":"Excluding DopeNation","export_13aug":373636,"export_22aug":368923,"fall_pct":1.26},{"scenario":"Excluding Calema","export_13aug":380704,"export_22aug":361032,"fall_pct":5.17},{"scenario":"Excluding Soolking","export_13aug":419928,"export_22aug":391274,"fall_pct":6.82},{"scenario":"Excluding TUL8TE","export_13aug":455051,"export_22aug":408340,"fall_pct":10.27},{"scenario":"Excluding Anselmo Ralph","export_13aug":437942,"export_22aug":426540,"fall_pct":2.6},{"scenario":"Excluding Shimza","export_13aug":462058,"export_22aug":457562,"fall_pct":0.97},{"scenario":"Excluding Victony","export_13aug":464073,"export_22aug":439901,"fall_pct":5.21},{"scenario":"Excluding Master Jake","export_13aug":479665,"export_22aug":457174,"fall_pct":4.69},{"scenario":"Excluding Sherine","export_13aug":480967,"export_22aug":456320,"fall_pct":5.12},{"scenario":"Excluding Mohamed Hamaki","export_13aug":482408,"export_22aug":456584,"fall_pct":5.35},{"scenario":"Excluding Amr Diab","export_13aug":486448,"export_22aug":462513,"fall_pct":4.92},{"scenario":"Excluding Cairokee","export_13aug":487674,"export_22aug":463047,"fall_pct":5.05},{"scenario":"Excluding Rema","export_13aug":489678,"export_22aug":468110,"fall_pct":4.4},{"scenario":"Excluding each date's own largest exporter","export_13aug":373636,"export_22aug":361032,"fall_pct":3.37},{"scenario":"Excluding each date's own three largest exporters","export_13aug":190896,"export_22aug":185009,"fall_pct":3.08}]}