{"id":3649,"slug":"african-chart-day-gross-rate-sensitivity-04-september-2026","title":"African music’s Spotify chart day at three payout rates, 4 September 2026","source":"Computed from this desk's spotify-african-share-by-market dataset for 4 September 2026, tested against the Spotify 2024 row of duetti-per-stream-rates-2024 moved 20 per cent in each direction","source_url":"","source_type":"computed","method":"A sensitivity test on the single assumed input in this desk's pricing of the 4 September 2026 African chart day. The stream counts are measured: 332,224 chart streams earned by African-origin artists outside Africa and 13,932,448 earned on the four African charts Spotify publishes. The payout rate is not measured by this desk; it is Duetti's published global Spotify rate for calendar 2024, $3.00 per 1,000 streams. The middle row uses that rate. The outer rows move it 20 per cent down and 20 per cent up, to $2.40 and $3.60 per 1,000, and recompute both gross figures. export_gross_usd and home_gross_usd are each rounded to the cent from their own unrounded product. home_to_export_ratio divides 13,932,448 by 332,224 and is identical in all three rows because it does not contain the rate at all. The purpose of the table is to separate what moves with the assumption from what does not: every absolute dollar figure in this desk's pricing scales one for one with the rate, while the home-to-export ratio, and therefore the finding that African music earns almost all of its charted money at home, is rate-independent. A 20 per cent band is a test of sensitivity, not a confidence interval. This desk has no measurement of the true dispersion of Spotify's payout rate across markets, and none is claimed here.","unit":"usd","license":"Afrobeats Wire's compilation and analysis are licensed CC BY 4.0.","confidence":"high","retrieved":"2026-09-05 19:54:02","n":3,"first_party":0,"columns":[{"key":"scenario","label":"Scenario","type":"text"},{"key":"rate_usd_per_1000","label":"Rate, USD per 1,000 streams","type":"number"},{"key":"export_gross_usd","label":"Export column gross, USD","type":"number"},{"key":"home_gross_usd","label":"Home markets gross, USD","type":"number"},{"key":"home_to_export_ratio","label":"Home divided by export","type":"number"}],"rows":[{"scenario":"Rate 20 per cent lower ($2.40 per 1,000)","rate_usd_per_1000":2.4,"export_gross_usd":797.34,"home_gross_usd":33437.88,"home_to_export_ratio":41.94},{"scenario":"Duetti's published 2024 rate ($3.00 per 1,000)","rate_usd_per_1000":3,"export_gross_usd":996.67,"home_gross_usd":41797.34,"home_to_export_ratio":41.94},{"scenario":"Rate 20 per cent higher ($3.60 per 1,000)","rate_usd_per_1000":3.6,"export_gross_usd":1196.01,"home_gross_usd":50156.81,"home_to_export_ratio":41.94}]}